Tuesday, 01 Apr 2025

How Canada Vanishing Tourists Are Costing the US in Flights and Hospitality Sector: New Report

Canada’s vanishing tourists are already costing the US in both flights and hospitality. Airlines have cut over 320,000 seats on cross-border routes amid a sharp drop in demand, and forward bookings from Canada are down more than 70% for summer. Major carriers—Delta, Southwest, and American Airlines—have all downgraded their revenue forecasts for Q1, signaling how travel uncertainty and weakening economic confidence are beginning to weigh on the industry. Hotels are also feeling the effects, with national occupancy, room rates, and revenue slipping. According to a new report, even a 10% drop in Canadian travel could translate to 2 million fewer visits, $2.1 billion in lost spending, and 14,000 US job losses. While airlines still expect revenue to match or slightly exceed last year’s levels and remain optimistic about the rest of 2025, early signs of softening—especially in domestic and lower-fare segments—hint that the slowdown may be spreading beyond just US–Canada travel.


How Canada Vanishing Tourists Are Costing the US in Flights and Hospitality Sector: New Report
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While OAG schedule data initially suggested that airline capacity between Canada and the US would remain steady for the summer season, recent weeks tell a different story. Airlines are quietly cutting back, and Canadian tourists are holding off on booking trips south of the border.

According to the U.S. Travel Association, new tariffs on Canada could further suppress Canadian visitation and spending. Canada remains the top source of international visitors to the US, with 20.4 million visits in 2024 alone. That influx generated $20.5 billion in spending and supported 140,000 American jobs.

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