Key House projection spells trouble for two Republican lawmakers

Two House Republican lawmakers are in political trouble with Election Day just four days away, according to a new analysis.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report issued a ratings update late Friday morning projecting races for Reps. Don Bacon, R-Neb., and Anthony D'Esposito, R-N.Y., to "lean Democrat."

They were both ranked as "toss-up" races, meaning it was anyone's game ahead of Nov. 5. The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) ranks Bacon's race as "even," whereas D'Esposito's is five points in favor of Democrats.

Democrats and Republicans are battling for control of the House of Representatives, which is currently held by the GOP with a slim four-vote margin.

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Bacon and D'Esposito were widely considered two of the most vulnerable Republicans on the congressional map. They're two of 16 House GOP lawmakers in seats that President Biden won in the 2020 race.

Both also won their seats by defeating Democrats - Bacon winning against a Democratic incumbent in 2016 and D'Esposito scoring an open seat previously held by a liberal in 2022.