Thursday, 07 Nov 2024

Trump train chugs past 2020 margins, particularly among Hispanics, urban Northeasterners

Donald Trump will have overperformed his 2020 returns in many key areas, including among Hispanics, Asian-Americans and urban Northeasterners.


Trump train chugs past 2020 margins, particularly among Hispanics, urban Northeasterners
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President-elect Donald Trump is projected to win the 2024 election, greatly weighted by overperformance among key voting blocs, not the least of which is among Hispanics and Latinos.

Trump flipped Miami-Dade County in Florida, one of the largest Latino communities in the nation, winning it by about 2% more than President Joe Biden did in 2020.

Rep. Carlos Gimenez, a Republican who represents the southern half of Miami plus the Keys, said it all comes down to "common sense" for Hispanics.

"Hispanics are people of faith, family, hard work, searching for the American dream, and I think those are the values of the Republican Party" he told Fox News Digital.

"The Democrat Party has gone way left to the extreme left, almost to the point of socialism. And many of us fled our countries fleeing socialism. And so that doesn't attract us," said Gimenez, who is the only Cuban-born congressman.

The lawmaker predicted Republicans will only further grow their support among Hispanics and Latinos if trends in both parties continue.

In the Northeast, Trump overperformed in several areas - including those overall unfriendly to the GOP.

Bronx County, N.Y., which still handily re-elected Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., saw Trump earn 10% more of the vote there than in 2020. The Bronx is also a heavily-Hispanic borough.

Of the five boroughs - where only Richmond County, Staten Island, is Republican majority - Trump saw his biggest gains in Bronx County, which edged out Queens by a fraction of a percentage point. He made gains in every borough this year.

Westward along I-78, Trump's coattails helped two Republican challengers in tough swing-district contests.

Nearby, the typically voting-hesitant Amish reportedly surged for Trump in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. Former President George W. Bush was the only other presidential candidate this century to actively court their vote.

A source told the New York Post the anabaptist sect voted in "unprecedented numbers" and that many were energized by government raids on Upper Leacock Township dairy farmer Amos Miller, who was punished for raw milk sales, among other pressures.

Rep. Lloyd Smucker, R-Pa., who was born into the Old Order Amish sect, recently told Fox News Digital he saw energy moving Republicans' way among the humble, hard-working group.

Asian-Americans demonstrated to be the bloc with the largest trend toward Trump this cycle. 

In California, Los Angeles and Orange counties both saw single-digit trends in Trump's direction - and both have sizeable Asian-American populations. Data showed a 12-point gain for Trump, leaving overall support in the teens in Democrats' favor.

In fact, Republican margins increased in every state, plus the District of Columbia, except Washington and Utah.

California, New York, New Jersey, Florida, Connecticut and Mississippi saw the widest gains for Trump over his 2020 numbers, according to data. Pockets of support in blue Philadelphia also helped Trump this cycle.

The two voting blocs where Trump lost support since 2020 were among White college-aged women and senior citizens. The 65 and older age group was evenly split, while the other demographic bloc leaned towards the Democrats by a margin of roughly 20 percentage points.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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