Harris-Trump showdown: In nation's biggest battleground, new polls show 'it's really, really close'

Trump stands at 47% support among Pennsylvania likely voters, with Harris at 46%, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. And a CNN poll indicated the race was a dead heat, with both major party nominees at 48% support.

An identical number will either definitely or have already voted for Trump (42%) or will probably vote for the former president and Republican presidential nominee (5%), in a separate question asked by the pollster.

With 

In the new poll, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives two percent support and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver stands at one percent.

"The bottom line is this was an incredibly close race in September and remains so today," Monmouth University Polling Institute Director Patrick Murray said, as he compared the results of his new survey in the Keystone State with his previous poll in Pennsylvania.

The pollster spotlighted that Trump "continues to have a significant advantage among white voters without a college degree - who make up nearly half of Pennsylvania's voter pool," topping Harris 60%-35% among this group.

However, the survey indicates that Harris holds a large 58%-37% lead among White college graduates, and voters who are Black, Hispanic and of other races (62% to 25%).

The Quinnpiac poll shows a widening of the gender gap. 

Men backed Trump 57 - 37 percent - up nine points from their earlier October survey - while women back Harris 55 - 39 percent, which was mostly unchaged from earlier in the month.

"The gender gap widens with Trump increasing his lead among men, as what remains a very tight race heads into the final stretch," Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy emphasized.

With six days to go until Election Day, the new surveys follows other recent polls that point to an incredibly close contest in the Keystone State. A CBS News poll conducted Oct. 22-28 pointed to both major party candidates deadlocked at 49%.

Pennsylvania, along with Michigan and Wisconsin, are the three Rust Belt states that make up the Democrats' so-called "Blue Wall."

Democrats reliably won all three states for a quarter-century before Trump narrowly captured them in the 2016 election over Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton to win the White House.

Four years later, in 2020, Biden carried all three states by razor-thin margins to put them back in the Democrats' column and defeat Trump.

Both the Democratic and Republican presidential nominees, as well as their running mates, have made repeated stops in the three states this summer and autumn.

The vice president on Wednesday, speaking in front of a large crowd at the Pennsylvania Farm Show Complex and Expo Center, urged her supporters to "get this done."

Harris made multiple stops Sunday in Philadelphia, the state's largest city. Trump held a campaign event Tuesday in Delaware County, in suburban Philadelphia, before holding a rally in Allentown.

Trump's new pitch for early voting stands in contrast to his years of blaming the practice for what he continues to claim - without proof - that his 2020 election loss was due to "massive voter fraud."

Since Haris replaced Biden atop the Democrats' 2024 ticket after the president dropped out of the race in July, Fox News found the vice president has visited Pennsylvania at least 15 times, as of Tuesday. 

Philadelphia was where Harris first teamed up with Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz after announcing him as her running mate. Harris hunkered down in Pittsburgh - the state's second-largest city - to prepare for her first and only debate with Trump, which was held in September in Philadelphia.

Trump has also visited the state at least 15 times since the end of July, Fox News found. Trump's history with Pennsylvania was underscored by an assassination attempt on his life on July 13 in Butler, when a man named Mathew Crooks opened fire on Trump and his supporters. Trump was injured on the side of his head by the shooting, and two other rallygoers were also injured. Local man Corey Comperatore died protecting his family during the violence. 

Republican Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, Trump's running mate, has visited the state at least 13 times since the start of August. Walz has visited Pennsylvania at least nine times since August, data compiled by Fox News found. 

Both campaigns have spent more than half a billion dollars on ads alone in Pennsylvania, the Philadelphia Inquirer reported last week. Democrats spent more than $294.7 million in Pennsylvania, while Republicans spent $243.6 million in the Keystone State. The funds spent far exceed ad buys in other battleground states, including Michigan, which trails Pennsylvania ad expenses by a combined $185 million. 

AdImpact, a leading national ad-tracking firm, reported that the Trump campaign has reserved $5.8 million in ad time to run spots in the final stretch ahead of Election Day, with the Harris campaign shelling out $4.6 million.

The GOP has whittled down that lead this year to a margin of 297,824. When comparing registered voters this election year to 2020, Democrats face a net loss of 257,281 voters, while Republicans have a net gain of 428,537 registered voters. 

Besides being the biggest of the presidential battlegrounds, Pennsylvania is also home to one of a handful of crucial Senate races that will likely determine if the GOP wins back the chamber's majority.

Forty percent of those questioned said they would definitely vote for Casey, with another 7% saying they would probably cast a ballot for the senator. Thirty-six percent said they would definitely vote for McCormick, with 8% saying they would probably cast a ballot for the Republican nominee.

Fox News' Maria Paronich contributed to this report