‘His ego will not accept defeat’: the story behind Trump’s attempt to steal an election

By now, 6 January 2021 has so thoroughly saturated the American political consciousness - a single date conjuring up images of the once unthinkable, mentioned every day in news about criminal court cases, the future of democracy and Donald Trump's ongoing presidential campaign - that you could argue we are used to it. Election denialism has become a feature, not a bug, of a major political party for nearly four years. The fact that Trump, when given the opportunity by ABC moderators to distance himself from efforts to discredit the 2020 election during this month's presidential debate, still refused to acknowledge Joe Biden's legitimate victory is no longer surprising, though we are also inured to shock.

But a new HBO documentary argues, through forensic chronological detail and, perhaps ironically, the testimony of Republican election officials and former members of Trump's administration, for remembering just how beyond the pale attempts to subvert the 2020 election were. As recounted in Stopping the Steal, a new film from the Leaving Neverland director, Dan Reed, the period between election night 2020 and 6 January 2021 was a series of genuinely shocking, potentially devastating opportunities for democratic disaster that often came down to clashes between obscure, local Republican officials and the president of the United States. January 6, in fact, "isn't the scary bit", Reed said. "The really scary bit is all the machinations that happened before. Because had they succeeded, the knock-on effect would have been to just gum up the system.

"Step by step, you can see that enough uncertainty was being injected into the system, and enough small gains were being made, to result in potentially a cataclysmic outcome."

Though Trump may deny any responsibility for January 6, his efforts to undermine the American electoral process and discredit the result in 2020 began the night of the election, before any network had even called it for Biden. At 2.30am, after news networks projected a Biden win in the crucial swing state of Arizona, Trump held an impromptu press conference in which he falsely claimed: "Frankly, we did win this election." What happened next is a matter of real-time journalistic record, playing out over several weeks and relived in Stopping the Steal by the people who were there: administration pressure on election officials in Arizona and Georgia to support evidence-free claims of fraud or, in one infamous Trump phone call, to find him "11,780 votes"; activation of misinformation channels and true believers, who latched on to claims of fraud, harassed election officials and showed up outside county offices armed with AR-15s; a media campaign by Trump's lawyers Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, Jenna Ellis and others bringing fringe legal "theories" into the mainstream; and finally the legitimization of crackpot legal theories to hijack the arcane electoral college, culminating in Trump's January 6 rally.

Stopping the Steal synthesizes these many episodes, through the perspectives of the officials - the then attorney general, Bill Barr; the Maricopa county supervisor, Clint Hickman; the Georgia secretary of state, Brad Raffensperger; the Georgia election operations manager, Gabriel Sterling - who worked to prevent the steal by simply doing their jobs. The framing offers "a story told by people who love Trump, but who love democracy more, who love the institution more", said Reed - mostly, Republicans who "held the line and who came under extraordinary pressure".

So he tripled down, with the help of (seemingly) true believers, some of whom also appear in the film - Jacob Chansley, also known as the QAnon Shaman, and Marko Trickovic, who spread numerous conspiracy theories about votes being stolen or discounted. "The guys on the grassroots level, I think they really believe," said Reed. "I don't think they have any doubt that the election was stolen, because they inhabit a universe in which that is a given."

Reed, who also recently performed a similar forensic analysis on January 6 called Four Hours at the Capitol, maintains that including the perspective of the so-called "Stop the Steal" movement does not platform its beliefs; if anything, it puts the alternate universe of the "stolen" 2020 election in starker relief to the facts. "Whether you think they're sincere or insincere, they're protagonists in this drama," he said. "It's always good and fair to hear from them, and give them a chance to express what they have to say in a coherent way.

"I presume my audience is intelligent," he added. "I presume that they're smart enough to know the difference between someone who's indulging wish fulfillment or embracing a fantasy, and other people who are doing it for more cynical reasons."

Stopping the Steal ends with January 6, and makes no presumptions about what will happen in November if Trump wins or, perhaps just as distressingly, if he refuses to lose again, which some Republicans are already preparing for. "I'm not a political pundit," said Reed. "I made the film because I want it to be a timeless film, because it marks a turning point in the way that we do elections. Now we have an option of: the Republicans won, the Democrats won, or someone stole it. We never had that option. That narrative didn't exist before.

"The blueprint is there, the playbook is there - why would it be different this time, if Kamala Harris wins?"

The day-by-day recounting of how the votes in 2020 were counted, and then protected - in nondescript county buildings, secretary of state offices, board meetings and eventually the US Congress - only underscores that a democracy is only as strong as its most obscure, smallest offices, whose character can make the difference between business as usual and a steal. "The functioning of democracy depends on people who buy into the idea that it should be fair," said Reed. "If the system isn't populated with people who embrace the basic idea of it, that it should be fair and everyone gets their fair shot, then the system no longer works."

Stopping the Steal, in revisiting the timeline largely through Republicans' first-person narratives - it was not Democratic officials that Trump personally called - acts as a "non-partisan" review of the facts, "the look back that we can all share", said Reed. The election in November will come down to how many people vote, where they vote, and for whom. But it will also be determined by "the remote gearboxes and the little bits of democracy you can't see", he said. "And that's what we need to look out for. That's what we need to shine a light on this time."