Coalition climate target consistent with more than 3C global heating, research says

Despite this, Hare said the implications of not dealing with climate change had largely been missing from the election campaign.

The scientific consensus is that global temperatures have risen about 1C since 1900, overwhelmingly due to greenhouse gas emissions. In Australia, the average increase has been 1.4C. It has been linked to unprecedented bushfires, rainfall events that have caused catastrophic flooding and four mass coral bleaching events on the Great Barrier Reef since 2016.

The analysis found Australia should cut its emissions by 57% by 2030 to be compatible with a 1.5C heating goal.

The Greens say Australia should be cutting by 75% over that time period, while the teal independents largely support a climate bill proposed by Zali Steggall that includes a 60% target. Climate Analytics said both were consistent with some tropical reef areas surviving, and intense heat events happening more frequently than the past few decades.