- by foxnews
- 02 Apr 2025
The year the world breaches for the first time the 1.5C global heating limit set by international governments is fast approaching, a new forecast shows.
The probability of one of the next five years surpassing the limit is now 50%, scientists led by the UK Met Office found. As recently as 2015, there was zero chance of this happening in the following five years. But this surged to 20% in 2020 and 40% in 2021. The global average temperature was 1.1C above pre-industrial levels in 2021.
The annual forecast harnesses the best prediction systems from climate centres around the world to produce practical information for decision-makers. It found a higher chance of rain in 2022 compared with the average of the past 30 years in northern Europe, the Sahel, north-east Brazil and Australia, while drier conditions than usual are forecast for south-western Europe and south-western North America.
The forecast indicates that the rise in Arctic temperatures will be three times greater than the global average over the next five years.
A team of archaeologists may have discovered evidence of the biblical Battle of Megiddo, where Josiah, the king of Judah, was killed by Egyptian forces in 609 B.C.
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